Connect with us

Businesses

Shift focus from midcap and small cap to large cap

Published

on

Shift focus from midcap and small cap to large cap

New Delhi, June 30 (IANS) Markets in the week went by shifted gears dramatically from Tuesday and for the next three days, there was high-speed driving at the bourses.

This resulted in big gains and markets touching new levels and more importantly, crossing 79K on BSESENSEX and 24K on NIFTY.

It also brought to an end the highly volatile month of June which began with election exit polls and then results which saw the biggest upheaval in markets in a very long time.

At the end of it all, markets were up, having more than regained losses of the 4th of June and seeing big monthly gains. BSE SENSEX gained 1,822.83 points or 2.36 per cent to close at 79,032.73 points while NIFTY gained 509.50 points or 2.17 per cent to close at 24,010.60 points.

The broader markets saw BSE100, BSE200 and BSE500 gain 1.95 per cent, 1.67 per cent and 1.48 per cent respectively. BSE MIDCAP gained 0.42 per cent while BSE SMALLCAP was up 0.37 per cent.

Markets gained on four sessions in a row during the week and saw profit-taking on the last day of the week. Two interesting observations during the week’s trading were the advance-decline ratio turning negative even though markets rallied sharply on Tuesday and Wednesday. The other observation was the out-of-favor IT pack registering sharp gains during the week.

The Indian Rupee gained 18 paisa or 0.22 per cent to close at Rupees 83.38 to the US Dollar. Dow Jones gained in three of the five sessions. It ended the week with gains of 529.70 points or 1.33 per cent to close at 39,118.86 points.

Thursday (June 27) saw June futures expire. It was a volatile day but bulls were fully in control. The series ended with gains of 1,555.75 points or 6.92 per cent to close at 24,044.40 points. It has been a very successful month for bulls and they have registered more than handsome gains.

The month ahead is likely to see the budget being presented in all probability in the week beginning July 22. This would be the expiry week for July series with expiry happening on Thursday (July 25). This would make that particular week extra volatile and choppy.

ALSO READ:  Govt eMarketplace deals soar to record Rs 3 lakh crore, states too post big jump

The week gone by saw three primary main board issues list and two issues open and close for subscription during the week The week ahead will see two IPOs open and close during the week with the two IPOs of the previous week listing as well.

The first issue to list was from Dee Development Engineers Limited which had issued shares in a price band of Rs 193-203 and had received excellent response and was oversubscribed 102.32 times. Shares debuted at Rs 339 and closed at Rs 335.32, a gain of Rs 132.32. By the end of the week, the share lost marginally and closed at Rs 322.10, a gain of Rs 99.10 or 58.67 per cent.

The second share to list on Wednesday was Akme Fintrade (India) Limited which had issued shares in a price band of Rs 114-120. The issue was subscribed overall 54.24 times and had issued shares at Rs 120. The share debuted at Rs 127, made a high at Rs 133.35 and closed there. The share gained Rs 13.45. By Friday, the gains were reversed and the share closed at Rs 119.15, a loss of Rs 0.85 or 0.71 per cent.

The third share to list was Stanley Lifestyles Limited. The company had issued shares at Rs 369 and listing happened on Friday at Rs 499. The share closed day one at Rs 474, a gain of Rs 105 or 28.46 per cent.

The first issue to tap the capital markets is Emcure Pharmaceuticals Limited which would open on Wednesday (July 3) and close on Friday (July 5). The issue consists of a fresh issue of Rs 800 crore and an offer for sale of 1,14,28,839 equity shares in a price band of Rupees 960 to 1,008.

ALSO READ:  World sees India on cusp of economic take-off: RBI report

The company as the name suggests is into manufacturing, marketing and drug discovery. It sells in India and globally. It had some issues in the US and had as a prudent measure demerged the US Subsidiary to safeguard the parent from litigations that may arise.

The PE band is at 34-86-36.60 based on annual results for the year ended March 24. The company had reported revenues of Rupees 6,715.12 crores and a net profit of Rupees 527.57 crore. The EPS for the company was Rupees 27.54.

The company had a flattish year compared to March 23 as sales grew from Rs 6,031 crores while net profit for the previous year was higher at Rs 548 crore. The PE multiple is on comparable levels with its peer set. Investment may be made in the share for the medium term.

The second share to tap the capital markets is Bansal Wire Industries Limited which is tapping the capital markets with its fresh issue to raise Rs 745 crores in a price band of Rupees 243-256. The issue opens on Wednesday the 3rd of July and closes on Friday (July 5).

The company is a manufacturer of mild steel high carbon, mild steel and stainless steel wires. It has a capacity of approximately 3 lakh tons and is setting up a new plant with a total capacity of 3.5 lakh tons.

The new plant will have within it multiple facilities and has partially been commissioned and will be fully ready in a phased manner over the next 6-8 months. Suffice it to say that with the plant coming on stream in a phased manner, the run rate of production in the next three quarters would have risen to a near optimum even though cumulatively for the year it would be lower.

The company reported total revenues of Rupees 2,470 crore and a net profit of Rupees 78.79 crore. This translated into an EPS of Rupees 6.18 for the full year and a PE multiple of 39.32-41.42. There would be a significant improvement in these numbers as the new capacities ramp up as there are economies of scale, better and modern machines with larger capacities and a mix of value-added products.

ALSO READ:  JSW Steel posts 64 pc decline in Q4 net profit at Rs 1,299 crore

All of this would help in increasing margins at all levels whether it be gross, EBITDA or net. Investment in the issue should be for a medium to long-term look at the prospects. One can also look at a short-term punt with listing day objectives.

Coming to the markets in the week ahead, one should see volatility increasing. The fact that markets have reached crucial and expected levels of 24K on NIFTY and 79K on BSESENSEX, gives one the belief that more is in store. Another 500 points on NIFTY and roughly 1,500 points on BSESENSEX open up as targets and upper resistance levels.

The possibility of midcap and small cap showing fatigue and a feeling of rising too much and too fast was visible last week. There is likely to be a correction in these segments and one will find different stocks behaving differently. The budget is just about three weeks away and expectations will start building up, keeping the market glued to happenings.

Sector rotation would be the key and wherever one finds sharp movements, the three-day theory must be kept in mind. You must enter on the first day and look to get out on the third day before the correction sets in and stocks are distributed.

The strategy for the week ahead would be three-fold. Firstly, book some profits and take some money off the table. Secondly, concentrate on large-cap stocks and exit small-cap and mid-cap stocks. Finally look for sectors that create new movements for the quick entry and exit strategy. Finally, as we get closer to budget, expect sharper two-sided moves in the markets.

(Arun Kejriwal is the founder of Kejriwal Research and Investment Services. The views expressed are personal)

–IANS

arun/svn

Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Businesses

Investors’ wealth eroded by a massive Rs 9.19 lakh crore

Published

on

bse sensex mumbai

Investors’ wealth eroded by a massive Rs 9.19 lakh crore on Tuesday as markets came under heavy sell-off with the BSE benchmark index Sensex falling 930.55 points.

 Extending its previous day’s decline, the BSE Sensex plummeted 930.55 points or 1.15 per cent to settle at 80,220.72. During the day, it tanked 1,001.74 points or 1.23 per cent to 80,149.53. 

The market capitalisation of BSE-listed firms eroded by Rs 9,19,374.52 crore to Rs 4,44,45,649.22 crore (USD 5.29 trillion). “There has been no respite from FIIs selling in local equities in the current month so far, which has been creating uncertainty among domestic investors.

 Also, foreign investors are fleeing Indian equities to invest in relatively cheaper locations such as China, especially after the stimulus announcement by its government to boost its slowing economy. 

 “Along with sectoral stocks, mid and smallcap stocks too bore the brunt as persistent buying had led to valuations in several stocks getting expensive and hence the breather,” Prashanth Tapse, Senior VP (Research) at Mehta Equities Ltd, said. 

ALSO READ:  Market breadth turns very negative as 88 pc of stocks decline

 From the 30 Sensex pack, Mahindra & Mahindra, State Bank of India, Power Grid, Tata Steel, IndusInd Bank, Tata Motors, Larsen & Toubro, NTPC, Bajaj Finance and Reliance were among the biggest laggards. In contrast, ICICI Bank, Nestle and Infosys were the gainers from the pack.

Continue Reading

Businesses

NITI Aayog shares a $300 billion economy roadmap for Mumbai Metropolitan Region

Published

on

By

NITI Aayog shares a 0 billion economy roadmap for Mumbai Metropolitan Region

NITI Aayog shares a $300 billion economy roadmap for Mumbai Metropolitan Region

Mumbai, Aug 22 (IANS) The NITI Aayog in its presentation to the Maharashtra government on Thursday suggested a roadmap for the Mumbai Metropolitan Region (MMR) to become a $300 billion economy by 2030 from the present $140 billion.

NITI Aayog CEO BVR Subrahmanyam during his meeting with Maharashtra Chief Minister Eknath Shinde and Deputy CMs Devendra Fadnavis and Ajit Pawar, suggested that the state can achieve this ambitious target with the promotion of MMR as global services’ hub, affordable housing and slum rehabilitation, tourism, port-proximate integrated manufacturing and logistics hub, planned urbanisation and intensive transport oriented development, sustainability projects and world-class urban infrastructure and transport.

NITI Aayog has said that the state government can attract a private investment of $125-135 billion, incremental GDP growth of $130-150 billion and additional capital by the state government of the order of Rs 50,000 crore over 5-6 years to chase the goal of making MMR a $300 billion economy.

ALSO READ:  India’s fiscal deficit declined in April-June quarter

“MMR is a $140 billion economy across 5 districts and covering 9 municipal corporations with a 25.8 million population and 10 million jobs. Good news is that MMR is on a positive growth trajectory on the back of $50 billion ongoing infrastructure investments. Our vision is to grow MMR into a $300 billion economy by 2030 and $1.5 trillion economy by 2047,” said Subrahmanyam in the presentation.

According to NITI Aayog, MMR has a potential to become a global services hub due to the existing two world-class business districts, Wadala and BKC for financial services and after the development of Navi Mumbai Aerocity as a global aviation city.

It has suggested that the rehabilitation of 2.2 million slums will create new housing stocks in addition to around 1 million affordable housing for low income and middle income group segments.

NITI Aayog has suggested the state can promote two themed tourism development hubs at Gorai and Madh and Alibaug and implement a masterplan for a 300 km coastline.

ALSO READ:  Sky One joins bidding war with SpiceJet CMD & Busy Bee Airways for GoFirst

Further, the MMR can promote port proximate integrated manufacturing and logistic hub with the development of Kharbav integrated logistic cluster as a multi-modal logistic park, circular economy parks and electronic manufacturing and manufacturing cluster for white goods assembly at Khalapur-Panvel section.

In the wake of the development of Rs 76,000 crore Vadhavan port, NITI Aayog has suggested that it can be exploited for the promotion of green hydrogen, steel, chemicals, integrated textiles and apparels.

Further, the NITI Aayog has suggested that the government should release a slew of policies for services, tourism, affordable housing, and transport-oriented development. In addition, the government will have to craft investment promotion and land allocation policy, simplified and enabling urban planning policies, women-inclusivity blueprint and Green MMR policy.

Chief Minister Eknath Shinde has said that the government is focusing on the construction of affordable housing, development of a data center in Navi Mumbai, and completion of Alibaug Multimodal Corridor. Recently, the state government has cleared projects with an investment of Rs 80,000 crore. The government has stepped up efforts to promote tourism along the 720 km coastline.

ALSO READ:  Centre announces relief package for Andhra, Karnataka tobacco farmers

(Sanjay Jog can be contacted at sanjay.j@ians.in)

–IANS

sj/pgh

Continue Reading

Businesses

Finance Ministry sees food inflation easing further on back of better monsoon

Published

on

By

Finance Ministry sees food inflation easing further on back of better monsoon

Finance Ministry sees food inflation easing further on back of better monsoon

New Delhi, Aug 22 (IANS) Inflationary pressures in the Indian economy eased in July and food inflation is expected to come down further with this year’s better monsoon leading to higher agricultural production, according to the Finance Ministry’s monthly review released on Thursday.

Retail inflation based on the Consumer Price Index eased from 5.1 per cent in June 2024 to 3.5 per cent in July 2024, the lowest since September 2019.

This was mainly due to a significant fall in food inflation. It declined to 5.4 per cent in July 2024 from 9.4 per cent in June 2024, the review states.

The substantial fall witnessed in food inflation was helped majorly by a decline in vegetable inflation from 29.3 per cent in June 2024 to 6.8 per cent in July 2024 and mild deflation in ‘oils and fats’ and spices.

On the other hand, core inflation (which excludes food and fuel) was at a moderate level of 3.3 per cent in July 2024.

ALSO READ:  JSW Steel posts 64 pc decline in Q4 net profit at Rs 1,299 crore

Overall, the retail inflation rate moderated to 4.6 per cent in the first four months of FY25 as compared to 5.3 per cent in FY24 (April-July), according to the review.

With moderate core inflation and positive progress in the monsoon, the headline inflation outlook is positive. Assuming a normal monsoon, CPI inflation for FY25 is projected at 4.5 per cent by the RBI, with Q2 inflation at 4.4 per cent.

A steady progress in the southwest monsoon has supported agricultural activity. The cumulative southwest monsoon rainfall was 3 per cent higher than the long-period average up to August 19, 2024. Further, the spatial distribution has improved, with 84 per cent of subdivisions receiving normal or excess rainfall. This has enabled healthy Kharif sowing.

As of August 16, the actual sowing area under total foodgrains was 4.8 per cent higher than the corresponding period of the previous year, while progress in cereals and pulses was 4.6 per cent and 5.7 per cent higher than the previous year.

ALSO READ:  Centre announces relief package for Andhra, Karnataka tobacco farmers

Corresponding to healthy progress in monsoon, availability of water level in reservoirs improving, ensuring water adequacy for irrigation during current Kharif and upcoming rabi crop production. The storage availability in 150 reservoirs as of August 15, was 111 per cent of the corresponding period of last year and 114 per cent of the average storage of the last ten years, according to the Central Water Commission. This augurs well for healthy food production that will aid in cooling food inflation in the upcoming months. Further, to enhance productivity and resilience in the agriculture sector, various measures have been announced in the Union Budget FY25, the Finance Ministry said.

–IANS

sps/vd

Continue Reading

Businesses

Indian economy is on upswing: Finance Ministry

Published

on

By

Indian economy is on upswing: Finance Ministry

Indian economy is on upswing: Finance Ministry

New Delhi, Aug 22 (IANS) The Indian economy experienced a notable upswing across various economic indicators in July 2024, signalling strong and resilient business activities with both the manufacturing and services sectors posting a robust performance, according to the Finance Ministry’s monthly review released on Thursday.

“The month saw impressive milestones being reached, substantial growth in GST collections, and a significant rise in e-way bill generation, which points to an overall increase in economic activity. The stock market indices also reached record highs in July,” the review states.

On balance, India’s economic momentum remains intact. Despite a somewhat erratic monsoon, reservoirs have been replenished. Manufacturing and services sectors are expanding, going by the Purchasing Managers’ indices. Tax collections – especially indirect taxes, which reflect transactions – are growing healthily, and so is bank credit, according to the review.

Inflation is moderating, and exports of both goods and services are doing better than they did last year. Stock markets are holding on to their levels. Foreign direct investment is looking up as gross inflows are rising, the review states.

ALSO READ:  India’s fiscal deficit declined in April-June quarter

Gross GST collections for July 2024 maintained their momentum, achieving their second-highest level since May 2023. The total gross GST revenue rose by 10.3 per cent year-on-year (YoY), bringing the total for FY 25 (April to July) to Rs 7.4 lakh crore.

This increase in GST collections also highlights robust compliance and expansion of GST coverage across various economic activities.

The upward level shift is reflected in the average monthly GST collections rising from Rs 1.68 lakh crore in FY24 to Rs 1.85 lakh crore in FY25.

The year-on-year increase in e-way bills reached a nine-month peak of 19.2 per cent with the total number of e-way bills issued in July surging to 10.5 crore, setting a new single-month record.

According to the review, the manufacturing sector has continued to demonstrate robust performance in the first four months of FY25, as evidenced by the strong performance of various high-frequency indicators.

The Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) Manufacturing, a crucial gauge of the economic vitality of the manufacturing sector, stood at 58.1 in July 2024, significantly above the series long-run average and among the highest recorded in recent years. This expansion, driven by buoyant demand conditions and a surge in production volumes, bodes well for the overall health of the economy.

ALSO READ:  JSW Steel posts 64 pc decline in Q4 net profit at Rs 1,299 crore

Similarly, the service sector continued to perform well.

PMI services remained in an expansionary zone at 60.3 in July 2024, driven by expansion in international sales, an increase in new order uptakes, and a rise in new export orders.

Despite a rise in wages and material costs which pushed up business expenses, overall sentiment in the services sector remains upbeat, driven, among others, by an upswing in the tourism cum hotel industry induced by leisure travel, business travel, and social events, the Finance Ministry said.

–IANS

sps/pgh

Continue Reading

Businesses

Sensex closes 147 pts up 81,053, Nifty above 24,800

Published

on

By

Sensex closes 147 pts up 81,053, Nifty above 24,800

Sensex closes 147 pts up 81,053, Nifty above 24,800

Mumbai, Aug 22 (IANS) Indian stock markets again closed higher on Thursday due to positive sentiment in the markets.

At closing, Sensex was up 147 points, or 0.18 per cent, at 81,053 and Nifty was up 41 points or 0.17 per cent at 24,811.

The market’s positive sentiment was bolstered by optimistic global cues, particularly from the US markets, where the S&P 500 extended its winning streak, reflecting investor confidence amid expectations of potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.

During the day, Sensex traded in the range of 80,954 to 81,236 and Nifty traded in the range of 24,784 to 24,867.

In the Sensex pack, Bharti Airtel, Tata Steel, ICICI Bank, Titan, Asian Paints, UltraTech Cement, JSW Steel, Maruti Suzuki and SBI were the top gainers. Tata Motors, M&M, Wipro, NTPC, TCS, Power Grid, Sun Pharma, Axis Bank, and Nestle are the top losers.

Thursday’s market rally was led by Nifty Bank which settled up 300 points or 0.59 per cent at 50,985.

ALSO READ:  WTCA Global Business Forum makes its debut in Karnataka

Among the sectoral indices, PSU Bank, fin service, FMCG, metal, realty and Private bank were the major gainers. Pharma, IT and energy were the major laggards.

An upward trend was also seen in small and medium stocks in the trading session. The Nifty midcap 100 index was up 400 points or 0.69 per cent at 58,844 and the Nifty smallcap 100 index was at 19,099, up 32 points or 0.17 per cent.

According to market experts, the domestic market witnessed modest gains owing to positive global sentiments.

“Particularly, the recent signs of weakness in the US non-farm payroll data have strengthened the case for potential interest rate cuts in September. However, in the broader market, investors are being cautious, opting for a selective approach, awaiting more clarity from central bank leaders in Japan and the US,” they added.

–IANS

avs/vd

Continue Reading

Trending