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PM Modi's connect with women guarantees BJP's unassailable lead: Noted economist

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PM Modi's connect with women guarantees BJP's unassailable lead: Noted economist

New Delhi, April 26 (IANS) Noted economist and former Executive Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Surjit Bhalla predicts that the BJP will get between 321 and 341 seats in the ongoing Lok Sabha elections, but the big news will be the party opening its account in Tamil Nadu with 5-10 seats because of the INDIA bloc’s ‘Sanatana Dharma folly’.

Bhalla’s analysis is based on a study of the state elections that have taken place from 2019 up to the present and it has shown that the BJP, bucking incumbency, has gained 5 per cent additional vote share over the years. The analysis has been presented in detail in Bhalla’s just-published book, ‘How We Vote: The Factors That Influence Voters’ (Juggernaut).

If the party holds on to this gain, it will touch 334 seats; if its vote share growth drops to 3 per cent, the total will be 321, but if it rises to 7 per cent, the BJP will nudge at 341, which would mean “400 paar for the NDA”.

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Bhalla, who’s been studying elections since 1985, pinpointed Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s popularity among women, “including Muslim women, who will vote for the BJP in the privacy of the polling booth”, as the principal reason for the BJP’s unassailable position.

He pointed out, quoting analyses from his book, that in a general election, no issue is bigger to voters than how they perceive their personal gains under a particular government.

Even the Opposition’s favourite plank — sharp rise in unemployment — does not stand up to data collated by Bhalla.

He said the rate for the 18-29 age group, which is most affected by unemployment, has actually come down from 14.8 per cent in 2019 to 10.2 per cent today. Even in the majority, voters who are in the 30-64 age group, unemployment is down from 1 per cent to 0.6 per cent.

Returning to how PM Modi’s biggest asset is his ability to sense the pulse of the nation while shaping his government’s development agenda, Bhalla asked: “What prevented our rulers in the 60 years before 2014 to make the end to open defecation a priority for the national government?”

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He said the elites making policies in ministries before 2014 had no idea that the majority of the women in the country did not have any safe access to toilets — that they had to wake up at odd hours to complete their morning ablutions to ensure their safety and privacy, before the men got up.

Similarly, Rajiv Gandhi just talked about the reality that only 15 per cent of development funds reach the intended beneficiaries, with politicians, officials, and middlemen cornering the rest. What PM Modi has done is use technology to ensure that at least 90 per cent of the funds reach the people they are meant for.

The Food Security Act was legislated by the UPA government, but it is PM Modi who has implemented it on the ground and the beneficiaries are now voting for him.

Bhalla concluded by stating confidently that PM Modi’s vision of a Viksit Bharat by 2047 is eminently achievable — “if not earlier than 2047” — if we maintain an average GDP growth rate of 6 per cent per annum.

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And, as he put it (pointing to the last line in his book, borrowed from Bill Clinton), “It’s the economy, stupid!” There’s no economic argument that is working against PM Modi today.

–IANS

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Defence Ministry: Year 2025 will be year of reforms

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rajnath singh with armed forces chief

On Wednesday, the Defence Ministry announced that 2025 will be designated as the “Year of Reforms,” with a primary focus on establishing integrated theatre commands to enhance collaboration among the three branches of the military.

These reforms are aimed at transforming the armed forces into a technologically advanced, combat-ready force capable of executing multi-domain integrated operations, the ministry stated.

The initiative will emphasize emerging domains such as cyber and space, alongside cutting-edge technologies like artificial intelligence, machine learning, hypersonics, and robotics.

Defence Minister Rajnath Singh described the “Year of Reforms” as a pivotal milestone in the modernization of the armed forces.

“It will set the stage for significant advancements in the nation’s defense capabilities, ensuring the security and sovereignty of India in the face of 21st-century challenges,” he said.

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A 3.2 magnitude tremor struck Gujarat’s Kutch district on Wednesday morning

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A 3.2 magnitude tremor struck Gujarat’s Kutch district on Wednesday morning, according to the Institute of Seismological Research (ISR).

The district administration reported no casualties or property damage following the quake.

The tremor occurred at 10:24 am, with its epicenter located 23 kilometers north-northeast (NNE) of Bhachau, as per the Gandhinagar-based ISR.

Last month, the region experienced four seismic events exceeding a magnitude of 3, including a 3.2 magnitude tremor just three days ago, with its epicenter also near Bhachau.

Earlier tremors in the area included a 3.7 magnitude earthquake on December 23 and a 3.2 magnitude event on December 7, according to ISR reports.

Kutch was also jolted by a 4.0 magnitude earthquake on November 18, 2024. On November 15, a 4.2 magnitude quake hit Patan in north Gujarat, based on ISR data.

Gujarat is considered a high-risk earthquake zone, having experienced nine major earthquakes over the past 200 years, according to the Gujarat State Disaster Management Authority (GSDMA). The 2001 earthquake in Kutch, which occurred on January 26, was the third-largest and second-most destructive in India in the last two centuries, according to the GSDMA.

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Diljit Dosanjh faces legal action over concert songs

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Singer and actor Diljit Dosanjh’s much-anticipated New Year’s Eve concert in Ludhiana faced legal hurdles after a complaint was filed by Punditrao Dharenavar, an assistant professor from Chandigarh.

Following the complaint, the Deputy Director of the Women and Child Department, Government of Punjab, issued a formal notice to Ludhiana’s District Commissioner, urging them to prohibit Dosanjh from performing specific songs during his live show on December 31, 2024.

The notice specifically targets songs accused of promoting alcohol, including Patiala Peg, 5 Tara Theke, and Case (Jeeb Vicho Feem Labbiya), even if the lyrics are slightly modified. The complaint points to previous warnings issued to Dosanjh by various commissions advising against performing these controversial tracks.

Despite these warnings, the singer allegedly continues to perform the songs with minor alterations. Dharenavar raised serious concerns about the influence of such music on young audiences, especially when minors are present at live events.

Adding to the controversy, Dharenavar referenced a 2019 Punjab and Haryana High Court ruling, which directed law enforcement to ensure that songs promoting alcohol, drugs, or violence are not played at public events, including concerts. This ruling underscores the legal basis for the complaint and has further intensified the scrutiny surrounding the event.

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UP Minister’s convoy overturns, 5 person injured

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UP Minister’s convoy overturns, 5 person injured

Five people sustained injuries when a vehicle in the convoy of Uttar Pradesh Minister and Nishad Party chief Sanjay Nishad overturned into a ditch near Januan village in the Khejuri Police Station area of Ballia district late last night.

Sanjay Nishad shared details of the incident, stating that the accident injured five party workers, including four women.

“I was traveling with the convoy to participate in the Constitutional Rights Yatra organized by the party on Tuesday night. Near Januan village in the Khejuri area, one of the vehicles following the convoy lost control while trying to avoid an animal and overturned into a ditch,” Nishad explained.

The injured individuals have been identified as Rakesh Nishad, Ramrati, Usha, Geeta, and Iravati Nishad.

Senior police and administrative officials quickly arrived at the scene following the incident to oversee the situation.

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Suchir Balaji’s mother alleges Murder

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Suchir Balaji’s mother alleges Murder

The mother of Suchir Balaji, a 26-year-old former OpenAI researcher found dead after accusing the company of copyright violations, has alleged that her son was “murdered” and called for a Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) probe.

Poornima Rao, Suchir’s mother, claimed her son’s death was a “cold-blooded murder” that authorities wrongly ruled as suicide. She further disclosed that a private autopsy report conflicted with the findings of the initial police investigation.

Rao alleged that her son’s apartment had been “ransacked” and cited evidence of a struggle in the bathroom, including bloodstains that suggested he had been assaulted.

“We hired a private investigator and conducted a second autopsy to uncover the truth. The private autopsy does not confirm the cause of death stated by the police. Suchir’s apartment was ransacked, there were signs of a struggle in the bathroom, and it appears he was hit based on blood spots. This is a cold-blooded murder being misclassified as a suicide. Lobbying in San Francisco won’t deter us from seeking justice. We demand an FBI investigation,” Rao wrote on X.

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Elon Musk reacted to Rao’s post, commenting, “This doesn’t seem like a suicide.”

Balaji was discovered dead in his San Francisco apartment months after accusing OpenAI of violating copyright laws during the development of ChatGPT, as reported by Fox News. Despite these claims, the San Francisco Police Department found no evidence of foul play and ruled the death a suicide.

On October 24, shortly before his death, Balaji voiced doubts about the “fair use” defense in generative artificial intelligence. “I recently participated in a NYT story about fair use and generative AI, and why I’m skeptical ‘fair use’ would be a plausible defense for a lot of generative AI products,” he wrote on X.

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