Connect with us

Businesses

Correction and consolidation ahead, trade cautiously

Published

on

New Delhi, April 14 (IANS) The week gone by had four trading sessions in which markets gained on two and lost on two. At the end of it all, benchmark indices ended virtually flat but gave loud indications that all is not well.

As one reads the news, Iran has attacked Israel with suicide drones and missiles and also declared that as far as they are concerned this was in retaliation to the attack on their embassy, and it’s all over. While the UN Security Council has called for an emergency session which will be held late in the night, the outcome would be known only when one reads the newspapers tomorrow or the Internet.

BSESENSEX lost 3.32 points or 0.00 per cent to close at 74,244.90 points while NIFTY lost 5.70 points or 0.03 per cent to close at 22,519.40 points. The broader markets saw BSE100, BSE200 and BSE500 gain 0.22 per cent, 0.12 per cent and 0.15 per cent. BSEMIDCAP gained 0.19 per cent while BSESMALLCAP lost 0.35 per cent.

What is significant is the fact that new highs were made on the first two days of the week. The high on BSESENSEX was 75,124.28 points while it was at 22,775.70 points on NIFTY. Looking at the developments, which will be discussed later, for the immediate week, these highs look too far away and unlikely to be crossed in a jiffy.

The Indian Rupee lost 11 paise or 0.13 per cent to close at Rs 83.41 to the US Dollar. Dow Jones too had a torrid week and lost on four of the five trading sessions and was flat on one. Suffice to say that at the present moment, the high of 39,887 points made on March 21 looks like a distant dream.

Rate cuts, an expectation which was driving markets, have been dashed to the ground. This has happened because the economy is in fine fettle and inflation which has been a key concern, is refusing to moderate. In such a scenario, rate cuts in the immediate short term should be ruled out.

ALSO READ:  Welcomhotel Hamsa in Manali - an all season destination

Our markets began their upward journey with expectation of results for the five state assemblies which were to be declared in the first week of December 2023. The benchmark indices on Friday, November 24, 2023, were at 65,970.04 points on the BSESENSEX and 19,794.70 points on NIFTY.

At the end of the next week on December 1, they had moved to 67,481.19 points and 20,267.90 points. Exit polls were announced post-market closing on Friday, December 1, and results were declared on Sunday, December 3. In the week ended Friday, December 8, markets had moved to 69,825.60 points and 20,969.40 points respectively.

Gains in the two-week period were 3,855.56 points or 5.84 per cent in BSESENSEX and at 1,174.70 points or 5.93 per cent on NIFTY. Since then we have moved up much further, discounting the outcome of the general elections and gaining another 6.3 per cent on the BSESENSEX and 7.39 per cent on NIFTY.

Call it by any name, markets need a correction as there is virtually no space for further upside right away.

Shares of Bharti Hexacom Limited who had issued shares at Rs 570, were listed on Friday, April 12. Shares ended day one with a fantastic appreciation and closed at Rs 813.75, a gain of Rs 243.75 or 42.76 per cent. The issue was an OFS of 15 per cent of the equity capital which was offered by the Government of India. The remaining 15 per cent of the equity or 7.5 crore shares are locked in for six months from the date of listing. One could be sure that looking at the share performance, the government would look to sell these shares when the opportunity arose.

In what could be termed as sheer coincidence, Vodafone Idea Limited, yet another telecom player is tapping the capital markets with its follow-on offer for Rs 18,000 crore in a price band of Rs 10-11. The issue would open on Thursday, April 18, and close on Monday, April 22.

ALSO READ:  Delhi HC upholds order directing SpiceJet to return aircraft to TWC Aviation

The share price on BSE closed at Rs 12.96. The top end of the band offers an arbitrage of Rs 1.96 or 17.8 per cent while at the lower end of the band, the arbitrage is Rs 2.96 or an attractive 29.6 per cent.

The company has allotted shares worth Rs 1,200 crore to a vendor, ATC, a tower company towards pending dues at Rs 10. This was done about three weeks ago and I strongly believe this should be the price at which the company would allot shares to all applicants.

The present shareholding of the company is 32.3 per cent for the Vodafone group, 18.1 per cent for the Aditya Birla group and 33.1 per cent for the Government of India, while the public shareholders hold 16.5 per cent.

This issue would keep the markets engrossed and there would be various arbitrage opportunities available. While the share is traded in futures and options, it is currently in the banned stage as overall exposure has crossed the limits of the exchange for the scrip.

The Mauritius double tax treaty has seen a change being introduced where the PPT (principal purpose test) has been made a key for the purpose of lower tax being applicable or not.

The ramifications of this treaty are yet to be known, but on the very first day itself, there was large selling by FPIs who sold shares worth Rs 8,000 crore on a net basis. Details of the policy have begun to trickle in on Friday.

The current global scenario, US FED and expectations of interest rates being cut being dashed, geo-political news being disturbed with first Ukraine-Russia, then Israel and Gaza and now Israel and Iran with the Houthis thrown in as a bonus, is keeping the pot boiling.

ALSO READ:  Rise of small regional competitors adversely affect larger FMCG companies

Crude is once again threatening to move towards the three-digit mark with gold having made a new high. All of this points to uncertain times and the fact that global markets cannot make new highs in such times. We need stability and a period of consolidation.

TCS has declared results for the 4th quarter and year ended March 24. There is improvement and order flows have certainly improved.

Looking at the large size of TCS, one cannot take this as indicative of the entire IT space and one certainly needs to know how the mid-tier and small IT companies would fare. One would have to wait for results from some more companies before coming to a decision.

Coming to the markets, expect them to remain volatile and under pressure. As of the time of writing this article, all indications are towards a gap-down opening on Monday.

One will have to burn the midnight oil or have an early rise tomorrow to see the outcome of the UN Security Council special session outcome. Irrespective of anything, there is an escalation of tension and this leads to uncertainty. Uncertainty is bad for markets.

The strategy for the week ahead, which has four trading sessions with a festival holiday on Wednesday, is to sell on sharp rallies and buy only on sharp dips. The focus should be on large-cap and select mid-cap stocks.

As markets are overdue for correction and consolidation, allow markets to find their own levels. There is no need to push the pedal in buying. Trading and buying opportunities would be available.

In terms of resistance, the highs made on Tuesday at 75,124 and 22,775 points acted as strong resistance. Similarly, the previous lows made at 21,900 points and around 72,000 points would act as strong supports.

Trade cautiously.

(Arun Kejriwal is the founder of Kejriwal Research and Investment Services. The views expressed are personal)

–IANS

arun/sd

Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Businesses

Punjab explores opportunity to export litchi to Britain

Published

on

By

Chandigarh, July 11 (IANS) After the maiden export of Punjab’s litchi to Britain, UK Deputy High Commissioner Caroline Rowett on Thursday called upon Punjab Horticulture Minister Chetan Singh Jouramajra to discuss strategies for future litchi consignments and sharing agro-allied technologies.

During the meeting here, which was focused on expanding the state’s agricultural export potential and fostering international collaborations, Jouramajra highlighted Chief Minister Bhagwant Mann’s vision of positioning the state’s products on the global map, citing the litchi shipment as a prime example of the government’s initiative to explore new markets.

Potential collaborations in solar energy, artificial intelligence and drone mapping, advancements in precision agriculture, opportunities in agribusiness ventures, exploration of carbon and water credits and development of a unified brand for state’s exports were also discussed, an official statement by the government said.

Rowett, who is based in Chandigarh, expressed interest in the litchi export program and assured the development of a roadmap for future collaborations between Punjab and Britain.

ALSO READ:  Adani Group completes first phase of 'twinning' of international terminal at Thiruvananthapuram Airport

The minister informed the delegation that the next big shipment of litchi from the state would be exported to England soon.

Notably, last month’s litchi export initiative, launched by the government in collaboration with the Agricultural and Processed Food Products Export Development Authority (APEDA), marked a significant milestone for the state’s agricultural sector.

The exported litchis, sourced from the sub-mountainous districts of Pathankot, Gurdaspur and Hoshiarpur, are renowned for their deep red colour and superior sweetness due to the region’s favourable climate.

Punjab’s litchi cultivation spans 3,250 hectares, yielding approximately 13,000 metric tons annually, positioning the state as a potential major player in the global litchi market.

–IANS

vg/dan

Continue Reading

Businesses

OECD calls for South Korea to adopt tighter fiscal rules amid deficit, rapid aging

Published

on

By

Seoul, July 11 (IANS)The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) called on South Korea on Thursday to introduce tighter fiscal rules and maintain a restrictive policy as its budget is projected to remain in deficit through next year and rapid aging would add longer-term pressure.

“The budget is projected to remain in deficit in 2024 and 2025. South Korea needs to restrain spending through next year,” the OECD said in its biennial economic report on South Korea released in the day, reported Yonhap news agency.

“The government needs to adopt the proposed fiscal rules and continue to carry out regular spending reviews to ensure long-term fiscal sustainability,” it added.

In 2022, the government announced a plan to introduce the fiscal rule that calls for capping the fiscal deficit at 3 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP). If debt exceeds 60 per cent of GDP, the government shall lower the deficit to 2 per cent, though the bill has yet to be passed.

ALSO READ:  Greece aims at tenfold increase in electric taxis in Athens by 2026

Public debt remains low in South Korea, compared with other OECD peers, but it is “set to increase rapidly going forward and exceed 150 per cent of GDP by 2060” as demographic changes are to increase fiscal pressures from pensions, health care and longer-term care, the OECD said.

In 2023, the country’s total revenue fell 77 trillion won ($55.82 billion) on-year to 497 trillion won, as tax collection went down markedly due to poor corporate performances and the property market slump reducing transaction taxes.

The OECD also pointed to the government’s tax relief as a reason for the marked fall in tax revenue last year.

Responding to population decline, the OECD recommended measures to improve work-life balance and to boost female employment.

The total fertility rate, which means the average number of expected births from a woman in her lifetime, also hit a record yearly low of 0.72 in 2023, which came far below the 2.1 births per woman needed to maintain a stable population without immigration.

ALSO READ:  Fintech personal loans log 62% of sanction volumes in FY24 1st half in India: Report

“South Korea is advised to tighten and enforce quality criteria for private childcare, improve the accessibility of public childcare, encourage workplace childcare, and extend formal childcare hours to accommodate working parents’ needs,” the organisation said.

Policy suggestions also include expanding parental leave coverage to the entire workplace, increasing the parental leave ceiling for all leave takers, and financing parental leave benefits and other associated charges with public resources.

The OECD also stressed the need to break down labour market dualism, expand social insurance enrollment and consider relaxing regulations on reconstruction and pre-sale price caps as part of efforts to boost the housing supply.

It advised South Korea to introduce a flexible wage system and raise the pension eligibility age so as to extend the retirement age. The current pensionable age in South Korea came to 63, which is one of the lowest among the OECD nations.

The organisation also called on the Seoul government to push for reform of its support scheme for small and mid-sized companies so as to boost their productivity.

ALSO READ:  Rise of small regional competitors adversely affect larger FMCG companies

–IANS

int/rs/svn

Continue Reading

Businesses

Sensex closes flat amid volatile session

Published

on

By

Mumbai, July 11 (IANS) Indian equity benchmarks closed flat on Thursday following a volatile session.

At closing, Sensex was at 79,897, down 27 points and Nifty was down 8 points, at 24,315.

During the day, the buying trend was seen in midcap and smallcap stocks rather than largecap stocks.

The Nifty Midcap 100 index closed at 57,148, up 227 points or 0.40 per cent, and the Nifty Smallcap 100 index closed at 18,919, up 129 points or 0.69 per cent.

In the Sensex pack, 16 stocks closed with gains and 14 stocks in the red.

ITC, Tata Motors, Asian Paints, Titan, SBI, Tata Steel, IndusInd Bank, Axis Bank, and HCL Tech were the top gainers. Bajaj Finance, M&M, Sun Pharma, Nestle, NTPC, and Power Grid were the top losers.

The market had started flat in the trading session.

Sensex touched a high of 80,170 and a low of 79,464 during trading hours.

Among the sectoral indices, Media, PSE, Commodity, and Oil & Gas indices were major gainers. Realty, pharma, and auto were the major laggards.

ALSO READ:  FPI selling in equity markets getting absorbed by domestic funds, retail investors

Rupak De, Senior Technical Analyst, LKP Securities said: “The Nifty remained volatile throughout the day before closing flat. In the near term, the Nifty might trade sideways, with 24,150 and 24,400 acting as the key levels. A decisive fall below 24,150 might trigger panic in the market, while a decisive move above 24,400 might induce a rally towards 24,650.”

–IANS

avs/vd

Continue Reading

Businesses

Shimla apples now grow in eastern UP

Published

on

By

Lucknow, July 11 (IANS) Uttar Pradesh will now grow apples from Shimla as the apple trees from Shimla have been successfully transplanted from the cold and high mountains to the plain region.

This effort was spearheaded by the Krishi Vigyan Kendra (KVK) in Belipar, the home district of Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath.

Three years ago, in 2021, the Centre introduced some apple varieties from Himachal and planted them locally. By 2023, these trees began bearing fruit.

Dharmendra Singh, a progressive farmer from Unola village in Pipraich, the Chief Minister’s home district, planted 50 apple saplings from Himachal Pradesh in 2022. This year, his trees also bore fruit. This achievement motivated him to establish a one-acre apple orchard this year.

In 2022, Dharmendra Singh planted 50 apple saplings of the Anna and Harman 99 varieties from Himachal. This year, they have borne fruit.

When asked about his interest in apple farming, he explained: “I am passionate about trying new things. During Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath’s tenure, there has been a significant focus on agriculture. Fixed grants are readily available transparently, and the Krishi Vigyan Kendra provides necessary advice. These factors motivated me to start apple farming. Now, I plan to expand. I’ve ordered more plants and am waiting for them to be planted from Himachal Pradesh.”

ALSO READ:  Political stability has given India a new sense of confidence: JKLU Laureate awardee Deepak Parekh

According to S.P. Singh, Senior Scientist at Krishi Vigyan Kendra Belipar Gorakhpur, in January 2021, three apple varieties – Anna, Harman-99, and Dorset Golden – were brought from Himachal Pradesh and planted at the Centre.

They began bearing fruit after two years. These varieties are well-suited to Purvanchal’s agro-climatic conditions.

The ideal time for planting is between November and February, with January to February being the most favourable months for planting saplings, he said.

Saplings should be planted in rows, maintaining a distance of 10 to 12 feet between each plant. This method allows for approximately 400 saplings per acre.

Eighty per cent of the plants begin bearing fruit within three to four years of planting and reach full fruiting maturity in six years. This makes apple cultivation suitable for short-term gardening.

–IANS

amita/dan

Continue Reading

Businesses

Historic Day for Vizhinjam Port: Gautam Adani on 1st mothership vessel's arrival

Published

on

By

Ahmedabad, July 11 (IANS) Gautam Adani, Chairman of the Adani Group, on Thursday said it is a historic day for Adani Group’s Vizhinjam Port which received its first mothership.

‘San Fernando’, a vessel of the world’s second-largest shipping company Maersk, arrived at the Vizhinjam Port with over 2,000 containers on it.

“Historic Day as Vizhinjam welcomes its 1st container vessel,” Gautam Adani posted on X social media platform.

“This milestone marks India’s entry into global trans-shipment and ushers in a new era in India’s maritime logistics, positioning Vizhinjam as a key player in global trade routes. Jai Hind,” the Adani Group Chairman added.

With the arrival of the first mother ship, Adani Group’s Vizhinjam Port has catapulted India into the world port business as globally this port will rank 6th or 7th. The official function will take place on Friday. It will be attended by Union Minister for Ports, Shipping and Waterways Sarbananda Sonowal, Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan and Adani Ports and SEZ Ltd (APSEZ) Managing Director Karan Adani.

ALSO READ:  Political stability has given India a new sense of confidence: JKLU Laureate awardee Deepak Parekh

Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone (APSEZ) has seven strategically located ports and terminals on the western coast and eight ports and terminals on the eastern coast, representing 27 per cent of the country’s total port volumes. In FY24, APSEZ handled 27 per cent of the country’s total cargo and 44 per cent of container cargo.

–IANS

na/vd

Continue Reading

Trending