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As Exit Polls indicate big victory for NDA, markets to see new highs this week

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New Delhi, June 2 (IANS) It was a volatile week and a complete reversal of the previous week. Markets lost on four of the five trading sessions and kept their prestige by gaining on the fifth day, Friday, which happened to be the first day of a new June series and was the shining star during the week.

BSESENSEX lost 1,449.08 points or 1.92 per cent to close at 73,961.31 points, while NIFTY lost 426.40 points or 1.86 per cent to close at 22,530.70 points. The broader markets saw BSE100, BSE200 and BSE500 lose 1.09 per cent, 1.83 per cent and 1.73 per cent respectively.

BSEMIDCAP was down 1.53 per cent, and so was BSESMALLCAP, a similar 1.53 per cent. It may be mentioned here that in the previous week, from May 20 to May 24, BSESENSEX had gained 1,404.45 points or 1.90 per cent, while NIFTY gained 455.10 points or 2.02 per cent. Effectively, the two weeks scored out.

The Indian Rupee was under pressure and lost 36 paise or 0.43 per cent to close at Rs 83.46 to the US Dollar. Dow Jones gained on Friday after a continuous losing streak. For this week, it lost 383.27 points or 0.98 per cent to close at 38,686.32 points. Dow lost on three of the four trading sessions and gained on one.

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The week saw May futures expire on Thursday. At the end of the previous week, the series was up 386.75 points or 1.71 per cent. NIFTY surrendered all of this and closed with losses of 81.70 points or 0.36 per cent to close at 22,488.65 points.

In economic data released over the weekend, there was great news from the GDP front, economic front and GST tax collection front. GDP for the fourth quarter was at 7.8 per cent, which brings FY24 GDP to 8.2 per cent. The fiscal deficit at 5.6 per cent of GDP has bettered the government’s estimate. GST collection for May 24 is Rs 1.71 lakh crore and continues the strong showing.

The week ahead has RBI meet for its first policy meeting of FY24-25. It is widely expected that there would be no change in stance or interest rates as inflation is easing off.

Shares of Awfis Space Solutions, which had issued shares at Rs 383, listed on the bourses on Thursday, May 30. Shares closed day one at Rs 419.10, a gain of Rs 36.10 or 9.42 per cent. On Friday, the share corrected sharply and closed at Rs 402.50, a reduced gain of Rs 19.50 or 5.09 per cent.

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The seventh and final phase of voting concluded on Saturday, June 1. The exit polls at the end of the same indicate a strong performance of the ruling BJP and NDA-led alliance across the country. While numbers suggest that they would have a more than comfortable majority on their own and may touch the magical number of 400 if the exit polls are to be believed.

Well, Tuesday would be another day, and things would become clear. As of now, it appears that things favour the incumbent, and they should get through comfortably.

Coming to the markets in the week ahead, while exit polls are in favour of NDA, one would like to be cautious for that one more day before celebrating wholeheartedly. By Tuesday midday, results would be clear which way the wind is blowing. What should be the strategy for the week ahead?

Looking at exit polls, a rally on Monday is almost certain. What may also happen is that post this rally, there could be some profit-taking and volatility. Tuesday would see volatility as the election trend in the morning is sketchy and skewed. Post this initial hiccup, if exit polls hold good, markets should see a blast.

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FPIs have been aggressive sellers, and a bout of short covering could give the needed ammunition to bulls to charge the market. It makes sense, therefore, to hold out your bets till markets stabilise post-Tuesday results and allow the euphoria as exit polls indicate to kick in.

New highs on NIFTY and BSESENSEX are on the cards, and one should not be surprised if we see levels of about 79,000 on BSESENSEX and 23,800 on NIFTY in the coming week. All of this is subject to the fact that exit polls, or even better, the poll of polls, are taken as a benchmark.

The strategy would be to ride the rally and allow markets to savour the victory. Allow the euphoria to kick in, and do not be in a hurry to book profits. Exercise caution in buying stocks where one is not comfortable with fundamentals. In conclusion, be cautious and allow exit polls to convert to results.

Trade cautiously.

(Arun Kejriwal is the founder of Kejriwal Research and Investment Services. The views expressed are personal)

–IANS

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SEBI launches India's 1st website for passive funds at NSE, unveils report on capital markets

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SEBI launches India's 1st website for passive funds at NSE, unveils report on capital markets

SEBI launches India's 1st website for passive funds at NSE, unveils report on capital markets

Mumbai, July 30 (IANS) The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) on Tuesday launched India’s first website for passive funds at the National Stock Exchange (NSE), along with unveiling a comprehensive report on the Indian Capital Markets.

The website provides a comprehensive platform for retail investors and empowers them to easily access information and understand the Indian passive funds industry.

It provides in-depth information on aggregate industry data, fund-wise data, and screeners for selecting funds based on various parameters such as underlying index, AUM, tracking error, tracking difference, trading volume, TER, comparison of funds, etc.

Meanwhile, the report on Indian Capital Markets covers the most significant reforms, important milestones, and technological innovations in the Indian Capital Markets, steered by the regulator, Market Infrastructure Institutions (MIIs), and market participants, along with their impact on investors in the country, said SEBI Chairperson Madhabi Puri Buch.

The report delves deeper into recent technological innovations and reforms, several of which are global firsts, findings from a retail investor survey across 12 cities in India and a nuanced analysis of benefits to investors.

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“The transformation and growth of our Capital Markets is due to a collective vision to create a resilient, progressive, and technology-driven ecosystem that provides access, information and control to the Indian investor community, while ensuring guardrails for protection,” she said.

Buch said that it is critical for all MIIs and market intermediaries to foster a culture of innovation, collaboration, feedback for review of regulations, and swift tackling of emerging risks.

According to NSE’s MD and CEO Ashish Kumar Chauhan, the report provides a comprehensive analysis of India’s Capital Markets evolution over the years, propelled by active retail participation, sustained and high inflow by domestic institutional investors, and strong performance of listed companies.

“The MIIs and several other market participants have adopted and implemented SEBI’s initiatives with speed and technological agility to make this transformation successful. We would like to thank our regulator, investors, MIIs, and all the stakeholders for their participation and collaboration in this journey,” he added.

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–IANS

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GAIL clocks 25 per cent rise in Q1 net profit at Rs 2,724 crore

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GAIL clocks 25 per cent rise in Q1 net profit at Rs 2,724 crore

GAIL clocks 25 per cent rise in Q1 net profit at Rs 2,724 crore

New Delhi, July 30 (IANS) GAIL (India) Ltd on Tuesday reported a 25 per cent increase in net profit at Rs 2,724 crore for the April-June quarter of 2024-25, compared to the corresponding figure of Rs 2,177 crore in Q1 FY-24.

The company said that the increase in profit was mainly due to increased gas transmission volumes, increased domestic natural gas marketing volume, and improved natural gas marketing margins.

The gas major’s revenue from operations came in at Rs 33,692 crore in Q1 FY-25 as against Rs 32,227 crore in Q1 FY-24. Profit before tax (PBT) in Q1 FY-25 stood at Rs 3,642 crore as against Rs 1,889 crore in Q1 FY-24.

On a sequentially quarter basis, revenue from operations was higher at Rs 33,692 crore in Q1 FY-25 as against Rs 32,335 crore in Q4 FY-24. PBT registered a robust growth of 28 per cent to Rs 3,642 crore in Q1 FY-25 as against Rs 2,842 crore during Q4 FY-24.

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On a consolidated basis, revenue from operations stood at Rs 34,822 crore in Q1 FY-25 as against Rs 32,833 crore during Q4 FY-24. PBT in Q1 FY-25 stood at Rs 4,114 crore as against Rs 3,099 crore in Q4 FY-24. PAT (excluding non-controlling interest) was Rs 3,183 crore in Q1 FY-25 as against Rs 2,469 crore in Q4 FY-24.

GAIL Chairman Sandeep Kumar Gupta said that the company has incurred a capital expenditure (capex) of about Rs 1,659 crore during the current quarter, mainly on pipelines, petrochemicals, equity to JVs, etc. which is about 21 per cent of the annual target of Rs 8,044 crore. He further stated that GAIL has advanced its net zero carbon target for scope-1 and scope-2 emissions to 2035 from the earlier date of 2040.

–IANS

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Won't allow Paytm-like contamination in stock markets: SEBI Chairperson

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Won't allow Paytm-like contamination in stock markets: SEBI Chairperson

Won't allow Paytm-like contamination in stock markets: SEBI Chairperson

Mumbai, July 30 (IANS) The Markets regulator, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI), will not allow Paytm-like ‘contamination’ in the stock markets, its Chairperson Madhabi Puri Buch said on Tuesday.

The SEBI Chairperson added that Paytm’s problems were contained within its own banking system due to the absence of a Know-Your-Customer registration agency (KRA) system.

“A problem within Paytm stayed with Paytm and didn’t affect other banks. But if we allow Paytm into our system without KRA oversight, it could contaminate the entire market. We cannot allow that,” she said during an event at the National Stock Exchange (NSE) here.

Buch said that “our KRAs will always be in place to ensure that things are validated and to prevent any mischievous player from causing harm”.

She also added that “we will always have our KRA sitting in the middle to ensure that things are validated”.

“Otherwise, any mischievous player could come in and contaminate the entire system,” she noted.

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Earlier this year, the Reserve Bank of India imposed certain restrictions on Paytm Payments Bank for lapses, including irregularities in the KYC process.

–IANS

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Kumar Birla discusses business opportunities in Bengal with Mamata Banerjee

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Kumar Birla discusses business opportunities in Bengal with Mamata Banerjee

Kumar Birla discusses business opportunities in Bengal with Mamata Banerjee

Kolkata, July 30 (IANS) The Chairman of Aditya Birla Group, Kumar Mangalam Birla, met West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee at the state secretariat Nabanna on Tuesday.

According to a statement issued by the Chief Minister, while it was a courtesy meeting, Kumar Birla discussed business opportunities and investment in Bengal with CM Banerjee.

“They are having ongoing and in pipeline projects worth Rs 5,000 crore in different sectors like cement and paints manufacturing. They are also planning to open a world-class educational institute in the city besides other plans for fresh investment. We discussed all these and I assured him of our support,” the statement read.

The meeting came at a time when the opposition parties are often accusing the state government of forming ‘anti-industry’ land and SEZ policies which are deterring big-ticket investments in Bengal.

The opposition parties claim that the annual Bengal Global Business Summit is merely a showcase event that does not fructifying into actual investments.

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They also claim that the state government’s policy of “no state government intervention in procuring land for industry” is the biggest deterrent for the investors to invest in Bengal which has a fragmented land-holding nature.

However, the Chief Minister has rubbished the allegations, claiming that there is no dearth of land for industry in Bengal since the state government has a ready land bank for the purpose.

She also claims that the days of strikes and lockouts in Bengal which were regular features in the previous Left Front regime are over now.

–IANS

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Indian Oil posts 75 per cent fall in Q1 net profit at Rs 3,722 crore

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Indian Oil posts 75 per cent fall in Q1 net profit at Rs 3,722 crore

Indian Oil posts 75 per cent fall in Q1 net profit at Rs 3,722 crore

New Delhi, July 30 (IANS) Indian Oil Corporation on Tuesday reported a 75 per cent decline in its consolidated net profit at Rs 3,722.63 crore for the April-June quarter of the current financial year, compared to Rs 14,735.30 crore in the same quarter last year.

The oil giant’s revenue declined almost three per cent in Q1FY25 to Rs 2.19 lakh crore, compared to the previous year.

Sequentially, net profit was down 32 per cent as the company reported a net profit of Rs 5,487.92 crore in the quarter ended March 31.

Indian Oil’s profit has come down as the average gross refining margin (GRM) posted a sharp decline to $6.39 a barrel from $8.34 in the same quarter last year. The throughput of the company’s refineries was 18.168 million metric tonnes (MMT) during the first quarter as compared to 18.752 MMT in the same period of the previous year.

The oil major achieved a quarterly domestic sales volume of 24.063 MMT, compared to 23.305 MMT last year. Exports volume in the quarter was pegged at 1.189 MMT.

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The company’s pipeline throughput came in at 25.811 MMT from 24.951 MMT in the same period last year.

The India Oil board of directors have accorded stage 1 approval for the construction of a greenfield terminal at Bihta (Patna) on the Barauni-Kanpur product pipeline (BKPL) and the Patna-Motihari-Baitalpur Pipeline (PMBPL) at an estimated cost of Rs 1,698.67 crore. The shares of the oil major are hovering at around Rs 183 apiece on BSE.

–IANS

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