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After the euphoria, the disaster

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New Delhi, June 4 (IANS) Monday, June 3 saw markets record their best performance in recent times, with NIFTY gaining 733.20 points on the back of Exit Polls for the general elections 2024, where the pollsters in a ‘poll of polls’ gave the ruling NDA around 370 seats.

The high on NIFTY was at 23,338.70 points. NIFTY closed at 23,263.90 points. On BSESENSEX, the gain was at 2,507.47 points to close at 76,738.89 points. The high for the day was at 76,468.78 points. These incidentally were new lifetime highs at closing and intraday levels.

Today, Tuesday, June 4, was a reversal, a terrifying and scary one. The lows made on BSESENSEX were at 70,234.43 points and 21,281.45 points on NIFTY. The intraday point fall on BSESENSEX was roughly 6,200 points, and 2,000 points on NIFTY.

What caused it? Simply the fact that the NDA fell short at below 300 seats or about 293 seats. The final closing today was BSESENSEX, down 4,389.73 points to close at 72,079.05 points, while NIFTY lost 1,335.70 points at 21,928.20 points.

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What from hereon is the key question. The BJP, along with its allies, has managed to become the largest faction and is ahead of the opposition by about 60 seats. The NDA should be able to form the government, and things would be as usual as far as current economic policies are concerned. This will not impact the current policies.

What would change is the reform agenda of the party where they wanted to bring about a common civil code and other such measures which would need a much bigger majority. The euphoria and the disaster are both behind us, and they have happened within a mere 24 hours of each other.

Going forward, the highs made on Monday at 76,738 and 23,338 on NIFTY would act as medium-term resistances, while lows made on Tuesday at 70,234 and 21,281 would act as strong supports. The range is a massive 6,500 points on BSESENSEX and 2,150 points on NIFTY. This is a huge range and looks like holding till big news flow happens over the next four to six months.

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With the market range specified, the next question is about the direction of the market. There would be political stability in the time to come as the mandate is not small and fairly clear. The government would be able to run its regular policies without any hindrances but would not have the majority that it had over the last two terms.

With such a mandate, it would be business as usual for all regular business and tough times for structural changes. For investors at the markets, it’s more or less business as usual, and FPIs who were sellers are likely to remain negative to neutral on the markets in the short to medium term.

In conclusion, markets would remain volatile and choppy in the immediate short term. Expect stability once government formation and getting back to normalcy is achieved.

Trade cautiously.

(Arun Kejriwal is the founder of Kejriwal Research and Investment Services. The views expressed are personal)

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–IANS

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Punjab explores opportunity to export litchi to Britain

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Chandigarh, July 11 (IANS) After the maiden export of Punjab’s litchi to Britain, UK Deputy High Commissioner Caroline Rowett on Thursday called upon Punjab Horticulture Minister Chetan Singh Jouramajra to discuss strategies for future litchi consignments and sharing agro-allied technologies.

During the meeting here, which was focused on expanding the state’s agricultural export potential and fostering international collaborations, Jouramajra highlighted Chief Minister Bhagwant Mann’s vision of positioning the state’s products on the global map, citing the litchi shipment as a prime example of the government’s initiative to explore new markets.

Potential collaborations in solar energy, artificial intelligence and drone mapping, advancements in precision agriculture, opportunities in agribusiness ventures, exploration of carbon and water credits and development of a unified brand for state’s exports were also discussed, an official statement by the government said.

Rowett, who is based in Chandigarh, expressed interest in the litchi export program and assured the development of a roadmap for future collaborations between Punjab and Britain.

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The minister informed the delegation that the next big shipment of litchi from the state would be exported to England soon.

Notably, last month’s litchi export initiative, launched by the government in collaboration with the Agricultural and Processed Food Products Export Development Authority (APEDA), marked a significant milestone for the state’s agricultural sector.

The exported litchis, sourced from the sub-mountainous districts of Pathankot, Gurdaspur and Hoshiarpur, are renowned for their deep red colour and superior sweetness due to the region’s favourable climate.

Punjab’s litchi cultivation spans 3,250 hectares, yielding approximately 13,000 metric tons annually, positioning the state as a potential major player in the global litchi market.

–IANS

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OECD calls for South Korea to adopt tighter fiscal rules amid deficit, rapid aging

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Seoul, July 11 (IANS)The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) called on South Korea on Thursday to introduce tighter fiscal rules and maintain a restrictive policy as its budget is projected to remain in deficit through next year and rapid aging would add longer-term pressure.

“The budget is projected to remain in deficit in 2024 and 2025. South Korea needs to restrain spending through next year,” the OECD said in its biennial economic report on South Korea released in the day, reported Yonhap news agency.

“The government needs to adopt the proposed fiscal rules and continue to carry out regular spending reviews to ensure long-term fiscal sustainability,” it added.

In 2022, the government announced a plan to introduce the fiscal rule that calls for capping the fiscal deficit at 3 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP). If debt exceeds 60 per cent of GDP, the government shall lower the deficit to 2 per cent, though the bill has yet to be passed.

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Public debt remains low in South Korea, compared with other OECD peers, but it is “set to increase rapidly going forward and exceed 150 per cent of GDP by 2060” as demographic changes are to increase fiscal pressures from pensions, health care and longer-term care, the OECD said.

In 2023, the country’s total revenue fell 77 trillion won ($55.82 billion) on-year to 497 trillion won, as tax collection went down markedly due to poor corporate performances and the property market slump reducing transaction taxes.

The OECD also pointed to the government’s tax relief as a reason for the marked fall in tax revenue last year.

Responding to population decline, the OECD recommended measures to improve work-life balance and to boost female employment.

The total fertility rate, which means the average number of expected births from a woman in her lifetime, also hit a record yearly low of 0.72 in 2023, which came far below the 2.1 births per woman needed to maintain a stable population without immigration.

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“South Korea is advised to tighten and enforce quality criteria for private childcare, improve the accessibility of public childcare, encourage workplace childcare, and extend formal childcare hours to accommodate working parents’ needs,” the organisation said.

Policy suggestions also include expanding parental leave coverage to the entire workplace, increasing the parental leave ceiling for all leave takers, and financing parental leave benefits and other associated charges with public resources.

The OECD also stressed the need to break down labour market dualism, expand social insurance enrollment and consider relaxing regulations on reconstruction and pre-sale price caps as part of efforts to boost the housing supply.

It advised South Korea to introduce a flexible wage system and raise the pension eligibility age so as to extend the retirement age. The current pensionable age in South Korea came to 63, which is one of the lowest among the OECD nations.

The organisation also called on the Seoul government to push for reform of its support scheme for small and mid-sized companies so as to boost their productivity.

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–IANS

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Sensex closes flat amid volatile session

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Mumbai, July 11 (IANS) Indian equity benchmarks closed flat on Thursday following a volatile session.

At closing, Sensex was at 79,897, down 27 points and Nifty was down 8 points, at 24,315.

During the day, the buying trend was seen in midcap and smallcap stocks rather than largecap stocks.

The Nifty Midcap 100 index closed at 57,148, up 227 points or 0.40 per cent, and the Nifty Smallcap 100 index closed at 18,919, up 129 points or 0.69 per cent.

In the Sensex pack, 16 stocks closed with gains and 14 stocks in the red.

ITC, Tata Motors, Asian Paints, Titan, SBI, Tata Steel, IndusInd Bank, Axis Bank, and HCL Tech were the top gainers. Bajaj Finance, M&M, Sun Pharma, Nestle, NTPC, and Power Grid were the top losers.

The market had started flat in the trading session.

Sensex touched a high of 80,170 and a low of 79,464 during trading hours.

Among the sectoral indices, Media, PSE, Commodity, and Oil & Gas indices were major gainers. Realty, pharma, and auto were the major laggards.

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Rupak De, Senior Technical Analyst, LKP Securities said: “The Nifty remained volatile throughout the day before closing flat. In the near term, the Nifty might trade sideways, with 24,150 and 24,400 acting as the key levels. A decisive fall below 24,150 might trigger panic in the market, while a decisive move above 24,400 might induce a rally towards 24,650.”

–IANS

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Shimla apples now grow in eastern UP

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Lucknow, July 11 (IANS) Uttar Pradesh will now grow apples from Shimla as the apple trees from Shimla have been successfully transplanted from the cold and high mountains to the plain region.

This effort was spearheaded by the Krishi Vigyan Kendra (KVK) in Belipar, the home district of Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath.

Three years ago, in 2021, the Centre introduced some apple varieties from Himachal and planted them locally. By 2023, these trees began bearing fruit.

Dharmendra Singh, a progressive farmer from Unola village in Pipraich, the Chief Minister’s home district, planted 50 apple saplings from Himachal Pradesh in 2022. This year, his trees also bore fruit. This achievement motivated him to establish a one-acre apple orchard this year.

In 2022, Dharmendra Singh planted 50 apple saplings of the Anna and Harman 99 varieties from Himachal. This year, they have borne fruit.

When asked about his interest in apple farming, he explained: “I am passionate about trying new things. During Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath’s tenure, there has been a significant focus on agriculture. Fixed grants are readily available transparently, and the Krishi Vigyan Kendra provides necessary advice. These factors motivated me to start apple farming. Now, I plan to expand. I’ve ordered more plants and am waiting for them to be planted from Himachal Pradesh.”

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According to S.P. Singh, Senior Scientist at Krishi Vigyan Kendra Belipar Gorakhpur, in January 2021, three apple varieties – Anna, Harman-99, and Dorset Golden – were brought from Himachal Pradesh and planted at the Centre.

They began bearing fruit after two years. These varieties are well-suited to Purvanchal’s agro-climatic conditions.

The ideal time for planting is between November and February, with January to February being the most favourable months for planting saplings, he said.

Saplings should be planted in rows, maintaining a distance of 10 to 12 feet between each plant. This method allows for approximately 400 saplings per acre.

Eighty per cent of the plants begin bearing fruit within three to four years of planting and reach full fruiting maturity in six years. This makes apple cultivation suitable for short-term gardening.

–IANS

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Historic Day for Vizhinjam Port: Gautam Adani on 1st mothership vessel's arrival

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Ahmedabad, July 11 (IANS) Gautam Adani, Chairman of the Adani Group, on Thursday said it is a historic day for Adani Group’s Vizhinjam Port which received its first mothership.

‘San Fernando’, a vessel of the world’s second-largest shipping company Maersk, arrived at the Vizhinjam Port with over 2,000 containers on it.

“Historic Day as Vizhinjam welcomes its 1st container vessel,” Gautam Adani posted on X social media platform.

“This milestone marks India’s entry into global trans-shipment and ushers in a new era in India’s maritime logistics, positioning Vizhinjam as a key player in global trade routes. Jai Hind,” the Adani Group Chairman added.

With the arrival of the first mother ship, Adani Group’s Vizhinjam Port has catapulted India into the world port business as globally this port will rank 6th or 7th. The official function will take place on Friday. It will be attended by Union Minister for Ports, Shipping and Waterways Sarbananda Sonowal, Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan and Adani Ports and SEZ Ltd (APSEZ) Managing Director Karan Adani.

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Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone (APSEZ) has seven strategically located ports and terminals on the western coast and eight ports and terminals on the eastern coast, representing 27 per cent of the country’s total port volumes. In FY24, APSEZ handled 27 per cent of the country’s total cargo and 44 per cent of container cargo.

–IANS

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